Contract terms
Will Zepbound WAC be below $11,500/year by Dec 31, 2026? · v1 (current)
Market metadata
Market
zepbound-wac-below-11500-2026
Market ID
694558225cd285b7ccf3fb30
Rules version
v1
Rules published
Dec 19, 2025, 01:50 PM
Opens
Dec 19, 2025, 01:50 PM
Locks
Jan 30, 2026, 01:50 PM
Resolve-by
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Measurement
WAC per year
Outcomes
This is a binary market with outcomes YES and NO. If the market is voided, stakes are refunded.
Resolution rules
Resolves YES if Zepbound (tirzepatide) US WAC annualized price is < $11,500/year as of Dec 31, 2026. Primary source: sponsor WAC/list price publication or a clearly cited WAC source. Otherwise NO.
Resolution procedure
Probiful admins resolve markets using the criteria above. If multiple sources disagree, admins follow the source hierarchy described in the resolution rules (if present).
Lock time: Jan 30, 2026, 01:50 PM. For “by date” markets, the phrase “on or before” is interpreted as inclusive of the calendar date shown in the contract.
If the market cannot be fairly resolved (e.g., no authoritative sources), it may be voided and stakes refunded.
Sources referenced
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Accessed: Mar 26, 2026. This page is a snapshot of rules version v1.