Contract terms
ET-600 (desmopressin oral solution) monthly WAC at launch? · v1 (current)
Market metadata
Market
et-600-desmopressin-oral-solution-monthly-wac-at-launch-8zbq3
Market ID
697b0f17b3eef31151c96563
Rules version
v1
Rules published
Jan 29, 2026, 07:41 AM
Opens
Jan 13, 2026, 02:05 PM
Locks
Mar 27, 2026, 11:59 PM
Resolve-by
—
Measurement
WAC per month
Price range
$600–$700
Outcomes
This is a price-range bucket. YES resolves if the price is $600–$700; otherwise the outcome is NO. If the market is voided, stakes are refunded.
Resolution rules
Resolves YES if the initial U.S. wholesale acquisition cost (WAC) at launch for ET-600 (desmopressin oral solution) is ≥ $1,000/month, using the first publicly available WAC from a sponsor price announcement or a pricing compendium (e.g., Red Book / Medi-Span).
If ET-600 (desmopressin oral solution) does not have an FDA approval for Central diabetes insipidus / AVP-D (as described by sponsor) on or before 2026-03-27, resolves NO.
Reference: https://ir.etonpharma.com/news-releases/news-release-details/eton-pharmaceuticals-announces-fda-acceptance-new-drug-1
Range: $600-$700.
Resolution procedure
Probiful admins resolve markets using the criteria above. If multiple sources disagree, admins follow the source hierarchy described in the resolution rules (if present).
Lock time: Mar 27, 2026, 11:59 PM. For “by date” markets, the phrase “on or before” is interpreted as inclusive of the calendar date shown in the contract.
If the market cannot be fairly resolved (e.g., no authoritative sources), it may be voided and stakes refunded.
Sources referenced
Accessed: Mar 26, 2026. This page is a snapshot of rules version v1.